Colorado Mortgage Rates This Week
Colorado Mortgage markets had a terrible, holiday-shortened week last week as Wall Street responded to worse-than-expected inflation data and action from the Federal Reserve. Mortgage bonds sold off with force, causing mortgage rates to rise for the second week in a row.
Last week was a bad week to float a Colorado mortgage, to say the least. Rates in Denver rose by the largest margin in any week since late-2009.
The two biggest stories from last week both came from the Federal Reserve. The first was the release of the FOMC January meeting minutes which showed more confidence in the U.S. economy than Wall Street expected, and the second was the Fed’s surprise announcement to raise the nation’s Discount Rate to 0.75%. Both sparked risk-taking on Wall Street and bonds sold-off as a result.
Now, the Fed Funds Rate won’t climb anytime soon and neither will Prime Rate, but the Fed has sent a clear message to the markets — The Era of Loose Monetary Policy is over.
This week, there’s a lot of economic data set for release.
- Tuesday : Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Consumer Confidence
- Wednesday : New Home Sales
- Thursday : FHFA Home Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims
- Friday : Existing Home Sales, Personal Consumption Expenditures
With markets already on edge, any better-than-expected results should be bad for mortgage rates.
After last week’s performance, conforming Colorado mortgage rates for residents of Denver have now unwound most their January gains. If you’re waiting for the right time to lock, it may have been 2 weeks ago. Consider locking in this week to protect against any further deterioration in price.
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Colorado Housing Starts Soar To 6-Month High In January… Or Do They?
Sometimes, headlines for Colorado housing can be misleading and this week gave us a terrific example.
On Wednesday, the Commerce Department released its Housing Starts data for January 2010. The data showed starts at a 6-month high.
A “Housing Start” is a privately-owned home on which construction has started.
Headlines on the Housing Starts story included:
- U.S. Housing Starts Hit 6-Month High (Reuters)
- U.S. Economy Receives Home Building Boost (Shepparton)
- Housing Starts Post Sharp Rebound (ABC)
Based to the headlines, the Colorado housing market looks poised for rapid growth through the Spring Market.
The real story, though, is that although Housing Starts increased by close to 3 percent last month, the growth is mostly attributed to buildings with 5 or more units. This includes apartments and condominiums — a sector of the housing market that’s notoriously volatile.
If we isolate Housing Starts for single-family homes only, we see that starts grew by just 7,000 units last month and have failed to break a range since June 2009. January’s tally is slightly below the 8-month average.
Perhaps more interesting than the Housing Starts, though, is the Commerce Department’s accompanying data for Housing Permits. After a 5-month plateau that ended in November, Housing Permits posted multi-year highs for the second straight month.
According to the Census Bureau, 82% of Colorado homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.
One reason permits are up is that home builders want to capitalize on the federal homebuyer tax credit’s dwindling time frame. Sales are expected to spike in March and April and more homes will come online to deal with that demand. Home buyers in Denver, Colorado should shop carefully, but with an eye on the clock.
As the tax credit’s April 30, 2010 deadline approaches, competition for homes may be fierce.
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Colorado Mortgage Rates Spike On The Federal Reserve’s January 2010 Meeting Minutes
Colorado Mortgage markets reeled Wednesday after the Federal Reserve Colorado Mortgage Rates Spike On The Federal Reserve’s January 2010 Meeting Minutes released the minutes from its January 26-27, 2010 meeting. Mortgage rates in Colorado are now at their highest levels since the start of the year.
The Fed Minutes is a follow-up document, delivered 3 weeks after an official FOMC meeting. It’s a companion piece to the post-meeting press release, detailing the debates and discussions that shaped our central bankers’ policy decisions.
The Minutes is a terrific look into the Fed’s collective mind and, yesterday, Wall Street didn’t like what it saw. Specifically, the report disclosed that:
- The Fed plans to break support for mortgage markets after March 31, 2010
- Raising the Fed Funds Rate will be a key part of the Fed’s strategy to tighten monetary policy
- The fundamentals behind consumer spending strengthened modestly
Furthermore, the Fed Minutes said that there is a growing risk of “higher medium-term inflation”. Inflation, of course, is awful for mortgage rates.
Overall, the Fed’s economic optimism appeared stronger after its January meeting as compared to its December one. A stronger economy should lead to better job growth and higher home prices throughout 2010.
Colorado Mortgage rates were up yesterday but they remain historically low. And many analysts think that after March 31, 2010, rates will rise even more. Therefore, if you’re buying a home in the near-term, or know you’ll need a new mortgage, consider moving up your time frame.
Every 1/8 percent makes a difference in your household budget.
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Colorado Mortgage Presents- The Best And Worst Cities For Commuters (2010 Edition)
According to the Census Bureau, 2.8 million people commute to work 90 minutes or more each day, in each direction.
Now, your daily commute may not be as long, but time spent in cars, trains and buses is time away from work and from family. Drive-time can affect a person’s Quality of Life and it’s one reason why Forbes Magazine’s Best and Worst Commutes is worth reviewing.
Measuring travel time, road congestion and travel delays in the 60 largest metropolitan areas, Forbes ranks city commutes from best-to-worst with Salt Lake City topping the list and Tampa-St. Petersburg finishing it.
The Top 5 Commutes, as compiled by Forbes:
- Salt Lake City, Utah
- Buffalo-Niagara Falls, New York
- Rochester, New York
- Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wisconsin
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, New York
The bottom 5 are Tampa-St. Petersburg, Detroit, Atlanta, Orlando, and Dallas-Forth Worth.
Long commutes shouldn’t deter you from moving to a particular city, but the potential commute should be consideration. Before making an offer on your next home, make a rush-hour commute to work from your potential new neighborhood. Then imagine doing it every day.
You can read the complete Forbes list of Best and Worst Cities for Commuters on its website.
Call Ben For Colorado Mortgage Rate Information.
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Colorado Mortgage Rates This Week : February 16, 2010
Colorado Mortgage markets worsened last week on general profit-taking in the U.S. bond market, combined with talk of a coordinated rescue effort for Greece and its debt burden. Mortgage-backed bonds sold off, causing conventional and FHA mortgage rates to rise.
There wasn’t much hard data on which to trade last week, either, so momentum took markets farther than they otherwise might have moved on their own. It marked the first time in 5 weeks that rates rose for Colorado mortgage rate shoppers.
This week, data returns. Expect mortgage market movement.
Some of the week’s more important releases include:
- Housing Starts and Building Permits (Wednesday)
- The release of the last month’s FOMC Minutes (Wednesday)
- Business and consumer inflation figures (Thursday and Friday)
Inclement weather may have impacted last month’s Housing Starts reading so pay closer attention to Building Permits. Permits precede actual construction and can be more indicative of economic optimism. If permit readings are strong, it should be a negative for mortgage rates.
The same is true for the FOMC Minutes.
Last month’s FOMC post-meeting press-release was decidedly middle-of-the-road, but the statement is just a summary of the Fed’s 2-day meeting, boiled down to a few paragraphs. Wednesday’s release of the FOMC Minutes will reveal the deeper discussions among members of the Fed. Wall Street will mine it for clues about the future of the economy.
If Wall Street senses optimism coming from the Fed — again — mortgage rates should rise.
And, lastly, keep an eye on Thursday and Friday’s inflation data. Inflation is bad for mortgage rates so a higher-than-expected reading should spark a bond market sell-off.
Since mid-December, Colorado mortgage rates have moved within a tight range and there’s little reason for rates will break this range this week. However, we are near the top of the channel. If you know you’re going to need a rate locked soon, it’s probably best to do early in the week.
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How Rising Consumer Sentiment Is Linked To Higher Colorado Mortgage Home Prices
Consumer Sentiment has been on the rise since last February and it’s something to which Colorado home buyers should pay attention.
The affordability of your next home may hinge on consumer confidence.
As the economy recovers from a near-the-brink recession, many of the elements of a full recovery are in place. Business investment is returning, household spending is expanding, and financial systems are gaining strength.
Consumer confidence is at a 2-year high.
What’s missing from the recovery, though, is jobs growth. Another net 20,000 jobs were lost in January. Data like that hinders economic growth.
That said, twenty-thousand jobs lost is a much better figure than the several hundred thousand that were shed per month throughout early-2009, but it’s still a net negative number. Not only does household income drop when Americans lose jobs but so does the average American’s confidence in his or her own economic future.
This is one reason why jobs growth is so closely watched by Wall Street — jobs are linked to higher confidence levels which, in turn, is believed to spur consumer spending.
Consumer spending represents 70% of the U.S. economy.
As confidence rises, it could be good news for the economy, but bad news for home buyers. More spending expands the economy and, all things equal, that leads mortgage rates higher.
Same for Colorado home prices. More confidence means more buyers which, in turn, squeezes the supply-and-demand curve in favor of sellers.
Later this morning, the University of Michigan will release its February Consumer Sentiment survey. If the reading is higher-than-expected, prepare for Colorado mortgage rates to rise and home affordability to worsen.
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Colorado Mortgage In Pictures: The Severity Of The Foreclosure Crisis Depends On Where You Live
Foreclosures stories dominate the national housing news. It seems at least one foreclosure-related story makes its way to the front page or the nightly news every week.
But for as much as the foreclosure filing statistics can be astounding — over 300,000 homes were served last month alone — the prevalence of foreclosures depends on where you live.
As reported by RealtyTrac, just 4 states accounted for more than half of the country’s foreclosure-related activity last month.
- California : 22.7 percent of all activity
- Florida : 14.9 percent of all activity
- Arizona : 6.7 percent of all activity
- Illinois : 5.7 percent of all activity
The other 46 states (and Washington D.C.) claimed the remaining 49.9%.
However, just because foreclosures are concentrated geographically, that doesn’t make them less important to homebuyers in Colorado and around the country. There’s been more than 1.4 million foreclosure filings in the last 12 months and that’s a figure that can’t be ignored.
Distressed properties now play a role in one-third of all home resales.
Therefore, if you’re in the market for a foreclosed home, here’s a few things to keep in mind.
- Properties are usually sold “as-is” and may not be up to living standards. Be sure to physically inspect the home before buying it.
- Buying a home from a bank is rarely as streamlined as buying from an individual Colorado homeowner. Be prepared for delays and long closings.
- Foreclosures aren’t always listed for sale publicly. Ask your real estate agent how to access the complete foreclosure inventory.
In order to use the federal homebuyer tax credit, you must be under contract for a Colorado home mortgage by April 30, 2010 and closed by June 30, 2010. That doesn’t leave much time to find a bank-owned home and make it to closing. If you’re serious about buying foreclosures, it’s probably best to start your search soon.
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Colorado FHA Mortgage Loans Separating Fact From Fiction : Mortgage Insurance Premiums
The Colorado mortgage lending landscape changes a lot. Rates and guidelines are in constant flux, and it creates preparedness challenges for buyers in Aurora that aren’t paying in cash.
The loan you get today won’t always be the loan you get tomorrow.
Because of how frequently bank rules are changing, it can be hard for laypersons to distinguish between mortgage fact and fiction of “what’s coming next”.
Recently, we saw this with respect to Colorado FHA home loans.
January 20, 2010, the FHA issued a press release with new lending guidelines. Specifically, it announced 3 changes that will be effective starting April 5, 2010:
- Upfront mortgage insurance premiums increase from 1.75% to 2.25%
- Allowable seller concession reduced from 6% to 3%
- FICO scores of 580 or lower are subject to a minimum 10% downpayment
But, also in its official statement, the FHA announced it would ask Congress for permission to raise monthly mortgage insurance premiums. This is where the rumors started.
Nestled on page 348 of the Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2011, in a section titled Special Topics, there is a 1-paragraph notation that details the FHA’s petition.
- Raise monthly premiums by roughly 0.30%, or $25 per $100,000 borrowed per month
- Lower upfront mortgage insurance premiums by 1.25%, or $1,250 per $100,000 borrowed at closing
For now, the request is neither approved nor acknowledged by Congress. It’s merely a request. And in the event that Congress does approves it, that doesn’t mean that FHA has to stand by its initial projections.
Truth is, about the only thing we know about the future of Colorado FHA lending is that, come April 5, 2010, borrowing money is going to be tougher, and more expensive. These are the facts as we know them today.
Homebuyers should plan accordingly.
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What’s Ahead For Colorado Mortgage Rates This Week : February 8, 2010
Colorado Mortgage markets improved last week on domestic jobs data and international banking concerns. The news triggered buying in the bond market and, as a result, conventional, FHA and VA mortgage rates in Colorado improved for the 4th consecutive week.
Mortgage rates are now at a 6-week low but probably shouldn’t be. It underscores just how important global events can be to U.S. mortgage markets.
For example, corporate earnings continue to improve and key elements of the economy are strengthening. Even the Federal Reserve acknowledges this. In most circumstances, that would be a boon for the stock markets and bond markets would suffer, including mortgage bonds.
Last week, that wasn’t the case.
Early in the week, as (1) China tightened its monetary policy, (2) Greece did little to quell lingering default fears, and (3) Spain raised its deficit forecasts, global investors sought to reduce their collective risk exposure. For safety of principal, many sold some of their more aggressive positions and moved the cash proceeds into the U.S. bond market — which includes mortgage bonds.
On Wall Street, this type of trading pattern is called a “flight-to-quality”. Because mortgage bonds are backed by U.S. government entities, the debt is considered to be ultra-safe. Last week’s extra demand for bonds helped to push prices up and mortgage rates down.
And that was before Friday’s weak jobs report. Although the Unemployment Rate fell to 9.7%, the government reported a net loss of 98,000 jobs last month and this, too, helped mortgage rates tick lower.
This week, we’ll hope for momentum to continue.
There’s very little domestic news to move rates this week so keep an eye on the global market for similar stories like what we saw last week. Or, if you’re not sure what to look for, just give me a call or send me an email and I’ll be happy to watch the markets and Colorado mortgage rates for you.
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7 Ways To Protect Your Credit Score For Better Mortgage Rates
As mortgage lenders tighten approval standards in Colorado and nationwide, the importance of a good credit score is rising. Credit scores not only make the difference between a mortgage approval and mortgage turn-down, but they also play a large role in determining your actual mortgage note rate.
In the 3-minute piece, the NBC Today Show talks about 7 ways that homebuyers ruin their credit — often by accident. Some of the highlighted mistakes include:
- Closing open credit cards
- Making appliance buys on credit prior to closing
- Asking creditors to lower credit balances prior to closing
In general, a 740 FICO will insulate a borrower from the higher costs and/or rates associated with low credit scores. Below 740, though, every 20 points adds to the damage. Watch the video and apply what you can to your own situation. The more you know, the more you can save.
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